Labour the only party able to defeat the Tories in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe.

A new MRP (multi-level regression and post-stratification) analysis shows that in the new Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe constituency the battle for the general election will be between Labour’s local candidate Matthew Dorrance and Tory candidate Fay Jones.

This new mega poll and MRP analysis was carried out by Survation on behalf of Best for Britain and went into the field shortly after the Chancellor’s Budget.

Conservatives set for wipeout in Wales and Scotland – reduced to a party of England only.

The poll and MRP constituency-level analysis shows that under Rishi Sunak, the Conservatives are headed for electoral oblivion, on track to return just 98 MPs at the next election.

In Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe, the mega poll and MRP shows the contest to be one between Labour and Conservative. The new constituency is made up of Brecon and Radnorshire and a large part of the former Neath constituency which has returned a Labour MP for over a hundred years.

The new boundaries and up-to-date scientific data all point to the election being close in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe.

Matthew Dorrance said:

“We now know that only Labour can stop the Tories in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe.  Voting for any other party will only let the Tories sneak back in.

 

“I am taking nothing for granted and I will work hard through this campaign to earn the trust of voters in Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe and help deliver the change our country needs.

 

“The polling is clear. The choice is between a hardworking local Labour MP for Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe and a change of government, or more failure and decline with the Tories.”